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US Strategic Concepts
Since the End of the Cold War
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From Leader of the Free World to
Predating Superpower
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The foundations of US foreign policy in the aftermath of the
Cold War were laid on three simple criteria: "containment" of the USSR;
preventing or delaying further spread of "communism" around the world;
promoting economic growth of the so-called "Free World" under the
aegis of America
Since the fall of the Berlin wall, a new phase is under way,
marked by a plurality of possible strategic concepts.
These can be conventionally grouped into three guiding principles,
which US strategician defined as triumphant internationalism, neo-isolationism
or disengagement, and selective neo-interventionism.
1.
Triumphant internationalism gathers all doctrinary options which
express continuity with the traditional foreign policy of the 1945-1989
period. A continuity which is - at least in some cases - modified by the
urgency of "catching the favourable moment", exploiting the current position
as the only world superpower.
A key concept in this way of thinking is the celebrated "New
World Order" - first coined by president George Bush at the time of the
Desert Storm campaign against Iraq in 1990, it came thereafter to define
the new role and "responsibilities" of the US. This concept does not in
itself express anything quite new with respect to the preceding phase:
care for stability, preserving the statu quo, acknowledging US "global
leadership". It is more interesting to assess the concrete meaning of the
concept, as shown during the conflict in the Persian Gulf. Here one finds
the justification of preemptive war as a means of preserving world order,
but at the same time - being apparent in the gap between the deployed military
power and its results, in terms of securing lastly peace - a divergence
between military power and political responsibilities; a divergence - it
has been asserted - that policies followed in Somalia and Bosnia fully
confirm.
But if political leaders seem rather unable to substantiate the
concept of NWO, military leaders supply with much enthusiasm!
In 1992, one of the many "guided scoops" brings to the publication
on the New York Times of a "secret" report from the Pentagon (Defense Planning
Guidance, whose directing editor is Paul Wolfowitz, defence undersecretary
for political affairs) where "new world order" is interpreted as US will
of preserving their status of only remaining superpower mainly with
the use of military force - even unilaterally, if necessary. In this view,
NATO is the vehicle of US interests in Europe, and the major guarantor
of European security.
We owe journalist Charles Krauthammer the significant concept
of unipolar moment, describing the character both absolute and temporary
of US supremacy: in two or three decades new rivals could be strong enough
to challenge it. Unipolarity also implies concentricity around a single
pole - so that at the centre of the world is a Western confederation (G7,
the Group of Seven, being a sort of prefiguration), and at the centre of
this, the US. A structure of concentrical circles, where the distance from
the centre is proportional to loss of sovereignity. The final goal is the
formation of the world common market suggested by Francis Fukuyama in his
End
of History. But the primary goal - and the first task to be completed
- is unifying the economically advanced West.
A pioneer in this direction was Robert Strausz-Hupé. Since
1957 he had been championing the need to unify the world under the star-spangled
banner "in the course of one generation" (!) and - a champion of mondialism
ante litteram! - condemning the idea of "national State" as a hateful french
ideological invention and "the most retrograde force in the twentieth century".
Strausz-Hupé world federalist dream (with NATO as the founding block)
invested the US with the mission of being "architects of an empire without
imperialism" - where Anglo-saxon civilisation is the bridge between ancient
civilisations and the new emerging world civilisation. Poor as it might
seem, this doctrine still gains new zealotes; among these, Strobe Talbott,
presently number two in Clinton's State Department.
Joseph Nye points instead at the "soft" side of internationalist
thinking. It is clear from the Persian Gulf war that economic power is
no substitute for military power. US primacy stems from being on top both
in terms of hard power (coercition) and soft power (persuasion). This last
aspect leads to the many transnational institutions which the US must exert
a firm control upon - albeit as leaders of last resort: the World Trade
Organization (former GATT), the IMF, the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty,
and so on. This "delirium of omnipotence" describes America's possible
role as the world "great organizer", as comparable to England in the XVIII
end XIX centuries, to Austria between 1812 and 1818, to the Pope in the
XII and the XIII centuries, back to Athens before the Peloponnesian war.
There is a "spenglierian" echo - our apologies to Oswald Spengler!
- in the appeal Ben Wattenberg (director of Radio Free Europe) sent to
the American people to acknowledge his "new manifest destiny" in the challenge
of promoting "American democracy" all over the world. Here culture has
a primary function, and the US are best equipped even in this field: show
business, mass media, english language, turism, university education (sic!)
and informational systems - not forgetting the entertainment business.
That is: Coca-Cola, Bill Gates & Pamela Anderson at the service of
the US-dominated unipolar world.
Some others do not exitate in recycling terms nowadays being
shunned by puritans obsessed with political correctness. Assault conservative
Irving Kristol (Wall Street Journal, August 1997) hails the day when the
American people will acquire full consciousness of being an imperial nation:
a great power can be insensibly led to assume responsibilities even without
explicitly committing itself.
2.
Greater soberness - at least at first sight - reigns among neo-isolationist
thinkers. They seem to realise that America is not anymore capable of an
efficient management of internationalist foreign policy, both economically
and militarly. Among the factors standing against it: a defence budget
next to 300 billion dollars in the 90's, growing domestic debt, a savings
rate among the lowest in the world, a bankrupt educational system (praised
be truthfulness!) and a scarce propensity to reinvest capital from the
financial bubble back to production.
Still isolationism does note mean - and never in US history did
mean - a willingness for isolation. As a political doctrine, it does not
rule out developing rich economic relations with the outside world. It
states, though, a preference for disengagement - for keeping America's
hands untied on behalf of freedom of policy choice.
A traditional stronghold of Republican thinking, heightened after
the defeat suffered in Vietnam, neo-isolationism acquires a "national-populist"
taste with Patrick Buchanan. The once aidee of Nixon and Reagan pleads
for a total withdrawal of US forces from Europe and from Asia, but stands
against disarmament. US supremacy must be mainained at sea, on air and
in space. Intervention is not excluded, as long as it does not imply war
on land (such is the nature of the compromise reached with the Clinton
administration in the case of US aggression against Jugoslavia).
This sort of re-edition of the Monroe doctrine is shared and
even radicalised by Ted Carpenter, director of the Cato Institute. Carpenter
favours an independent strategy, free from heavy and obsolete engagements;
US "vital interests" must to be rigorously circumscribed and all-round
(360 degrees) interventionism is to be rejected; local conflicts (including
those in Europe) must not be regarded as a threat to the above mentioned
"interests".
"What are America's vital interests?" asks Edwin Feulner, president
of the Heritage Foundation. He lists five criteria: safeguarding national
security (territory, borders, airspace); preventing a threat from a competing
power in Europe, in the Far East and in the Persian Gulf (with reference
to Russia, North Korea and Iran and Iraq, respectively); preserving US
accessibility to foreign markets; protecting American people from "terrorism
and international crime"; preserving accessibility to strategic resources.
As a corollary to his theses, Carpenter prompts a clear judgement
about US present alliances and about NATO - a vestige from the past,
to be ridden of quickly. Here "pessimism of reason" shows his hand: the
unipolar moment is not going to last.
Barbara Conray, also from the Cato Institute, denies that pursuing
political and military leadership should be the founding block of American
foreign policy. If you want to play the World's Policeman, you will soon
find that risks outweigh rewards.
This assumption is shared by a large number of authors who do
not believe that US hegemony can outlive the Cold War. Not only no new
superpowers will be born, but regional crises will lead to a growing fragmentation
of power. The US must therefore act to "segment" this regional instability
without any active intervention. Forty years of Cold War attributed too
much importance to foreign policy, says former ambassador to the UN Jeane
Kirkpatrick: it is time for America to look after her own backyard.
Because today power essentially means economic power, and such
will be the playground for the real game. The mondialist option will not
be rewarded with a world united around American values. And America's sociocultural
domestic troubles call for an urgent interior renewal. |
3.
Between the extremes of internationalism and isolationism stands
neo-internationalism or practical internationalism - according to Richard
Gardner, presently among Clinton's adivsers.
The key concept guiding most foreign policy initiatives of the
Clinton administration is multilateral security - generally identified
with adjoint secretary of State Tarnoff. A strict interpretation of this
doctrine wants the US to limit their resort to force to a multilateral
context, except for limited cases when some vital interests are being put
in jeopardy. But widespread criticism of the way the administration failed
to master crises in Bosnia and Somalia lead to a shift towards a more loose
concept of multilateral security - in this view, multerality is a medium
and not a goal in itself, and unilateral action cannot be excluded once
for all.
A strictly related concept to multilateral security is strategic
independance. If containment doctrine expressed the will to prevent the
rise of a competing hegemonic power in Eurasia, now - preserving this strategic
achievement - America avoid direct action and look forward instead to an
equilibrium of powers, both at the global and regional level. US strategic
indepence would consist in being able to exploit rivalities among other
powers while benefitting from geopolitical rewards of insularity, distance
from war theatres and military and nuclear supremacy.
In this re-edition of the equilibrium-of-powers theory, Henry
Kissinger states that the US will not be able again to face all potential
crises challenges at a time - being selective is the imperative. According
to Kissinger's selective interventism, some crises could call for America's
unilateral intervention, others could request only multilateral action,
others could even be not worth of military intervention whatsoever. In
this perspective, the aim of building a new global order upon American
interests (the so-called Pax Americana) becomes unfeasible in the new world
environment. Americ's role is therefore assimilated to that of England
in the XIX century.
Such a view is shared and emphasized by Zbigniew Brzeszinski.
The concept of US global selective commitment acts as a synthesis of
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the eventuality that US foreign policy interests could
not coincide with those of the their traditional allies
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the principle of preserving the status of first nuclear
dissuasion pole
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the aim of preserving military supremacy (airforce and
navy) against allies and others
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the principle of selective and proportionate commitment
to different forms of cooperation on a regional scale (NATO being a typical
application).
This concept (later adopted by the Clinton administration)
is associated with that of enlarging the so-called "liberal community".
Some authors related to this way of thinking have openly vindicated
a primary role to economic supremacy, thus limiting the scope for the imperatives
to national security and spreading American values (one may think about
rapid restructuring of CIA - or at least of its "official" bodies - to
economic and financial espionage). Cold War bipolarity would be replaced
by a tripolarity - US, Europe and Japan - of economic superpowers.
This concept is functional to the need of keeping foreign markets open
to US exporters and investors. Here promoting collective security systems
- collective, but under firm US control - is a primary goal, in fault of
which
Seecretary of state Warren Christopher said in 1992 that "economic
security" is the primary goal of Clintonian foreign policy. Adjoint secretary
Strobe Talbott in 1994 spoke about "diplomacy for globale competitiveness"
- the meaning of which has been illustrated by Strobe Talbott himself:
keep alert to prevent new economic regional groupings from formulating
aims conflicting with those well known US primary interests. European Union
beware!
America as a Big Corporation that must take advantage of a temporarily
strong market position in order to shape it according to its purposes.
This is what Richard Haas - maitre-à-penser of the Brookings Institution
and former advisor to President Bush - seems to suggest in his The Reluctant
Sheriff (1997). The goal of American foreign policy must be to cooperate
with those who share their ideas in order to ensure a better functioning
of the market and enforcing adherence to its fundamental rules. By persuasion,
if possible, otherwise by coercition. So what we have here is not the World's
Policemen - 24 hours a day engaged in fighting the many of Evil Empires
- but the Sheriff, waiting for the situation to become intolerable and
- then only - recruiting volunteers and mercenaries for the punishing expedition.
Sounds familiar, does not it?
4.
We deliberatley dedicate a full section to Samuel Huntington.
His essay about The Clash of Civilizations? - question mark! - appeared
in the summer '93 issue of Foreign Affairs. The follow-up (no more question
mark!) came three years later with the book The Clash of Civilisations
and the New World Order. The core of the argumentation - in relation
to our theme - is explained at the beginning of chapter 7 :
“The new order built in the epoch of the Cold War was the result
of the leadership of the two superpowers upon their own blocs and of their
influence in the Third World. In the new emerging world order, the concept
of superpower is obsolete, the global village being but a dream. No country,
even the United States, can claim significant security interests on a global
scale. The elements of the new international order have to be identified
within the different civilisations, and in their interactions. Either the
world will be orderer according to civilisations, or it will have no order
at all. Leading States of each different civilisation will replace superpowers,
will guarantee order within their own civilisation and also, though negotiations
with the other leading States, in international relations .... A leading
State can exert this role of preserving order, because other member States
recognise its cultural affinity. A civilisation is like a big family...
Where they do exist, leading States represent the key elements of the new
internarionale order based upon civilisations... ”
Now comes the direct reference to Europe. What is "our" civilisation
according to Huntington?
“ During the Cold War, the United States were at the centre of
a wide and composite group of countries, bound together by the objective
of preventing the further expansione of the Soviet Union. This group –
known as “the Free Word”, or “the West”, or “the Allies” – included many,
if not all Western countries, Turkey, Greece, Japan, Korea, the Philippines,
Israel... After the end of the Cold war, the West is slowly taking a new
shape as a new grouping of countries, more or less coinciding with the
Western civilisation.”
Huntington's violence upon geopolitics is functional to the annihilation
of any difference between the Anglo-saxon world and the European civilisation
into the concept of “Western civilisation”, where the latter disappears
into the former.
Extavagant as it might seem, this analyis implies a very explicit
theorisation of the hegemonic role of the US and their British ally over
Europe.
When Huntington tries to force reality into his schemes - then
the most striking and interesting contradictions do emerge.
Having defined as fault-line conflicts those arising between
border States which belong to different groups of civilisations living
within the same State - as opposed to conflicts between leading States,
which involve the main States of the different civilisations - Huntington
uses this key for a close examination of main conflicts in the 80s and
90s.
Let us have a look at the most interesting case: Bosnia. Huntington
writes in 1996, still his conclusions perfectly apply to Kosovo.
In a fault-line conflict there are three kind of players. First
level players (in the Bosnian case, Serbian and Croatian fighters, apart
from Bosnians themselves), second level players (the three governments)
and third level players, generally the leading countries of the differente
civilisations involved - in our case, we have Germany, Austria, the
Vatican State, other european Catholic states and groups backing Croatia;
Russia, Greece and other Orthodox countries and groups backing Serbia;
and finally Islamic countries and - surprise! - the US backing Bosnia.
Huntington admits it is a "partial exception", an "anomaly" -
possibly a mistake of the Clinton administration, even too happy to bow
to "strong pressures from his friends in the Islamist world".
A strange kind of anomaly indeed - since it repeats itself as
a printed screenplay in the Anglo-American aggression against Serbia propitiated
by the Kosovo crisis.
Such a curious theory is Huntington trying to sell us! - a quite
strange theory which, unfortunately, ends up with demolishing its own bases…
or perhaps?
Or perhaps there is again something that nobody was willing to
disclose at the time - perhaps that infamous concept of a Third American
Empire having in the Balkans their still contended territory - a concept
openly stated by Michael Lind and Jacob Heilbrunn (Washington Post, January
1996). Then the picture becomes clear, and it seems reasonable for the
US to act as "third level players" - or as mafia godfathers, plainly speaking
- on behalf of a pseudo-Islamist entity which is given the task to act
as a wedge, in order to prevent the reconstruction of a great European
space.
4.
A few words to sum up. It is high time we put reality back on
his feet. Isolationism in US foreign policy never really existed: simply
as it is, during the period between the two World Wars there was a preference
for indirect methods based upon economic coercition and diplomatic manipulation.
Therefore any reference to a supposed "neo-isolationism" is nothing but
fiction. Similarly, practical selective interventism cannot mean
disengagement - when there is America's survival at stake, when chances
of reversing a political, economic, diplomatic and miliray decline grow
thinner. Behind America's mask as the guarantor of multilateral security
and regional balance of powers, hides the deliberate purpose of gobal
destabilisation at any level - diplomatic, political, financial and military
- starting from the "heart of the world", the Eurasian continent.
This is the historical meaning of war in Yugoslavia.
If a grain of truth is hidden in any lie, then we are debtors
to Huntington of a precious lesson. In a coming world where the production
of sense will stem from civilisations (in their mutual recognition, respect
and cohexistence), as opposed to the nonsense of globalisation - there
the US and their British allies are truly an anomaly bound to disappear. |
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“Carthago Delenda Est”
15.06.99 |
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